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Horse of the Year
watch – by Brock Sheridan
Sept. 21, 2011 - The golden Eclipse Award for Horse of the Year is presented
each January which may make it seem like a topic far away. But when thought of
in terms of races left for an individual horse, the number two adds significant
immediacy. Suddenly it’s right around the corner.
What is interesting about this class of 2011 Thoroughbreds is the vast number of
races in October that may still have an impact on their championship. Some may
attribute that to mediocrity – others to competitiveness; but that is for
another column.
Of significance regarding this group, is that three of the leaders for the Horse
of the Year award this year are female in Havre de Grace, Blind Luck and
European legend Goldikova. Should one be given the golden Eclipse, it would be
an unprecedented third consecutive year a female is named North American Horse
of the Year.
In 2009 Rachel Alexandra was named Horse of the Year and last year Zenyatta took
home the prize. The only other two females to capture Horse of the Year in
consecutive years were Twilight Tear in 1944 and Busher in 1945.
Of the three, Goldikova is a bit of a long shot, but only because of her lack of
races in North America. Although she will again make only one start in the new
country this year, it will potentially be monumental if Goldikova could win her
fourth consecutive Breeders’ Cup Mile (gr. 1). Goldikova is the only horse to
win a Breeders’ Cup race in three consecutive years having done so in the last
three Miles.
Trainer Freddie Head is expected to send Goldikova to the group 1 Prix de la
Foret at Longchamp for her final start before the Breeders’ Cup.
Currently Blind Luck is on the West coast awaiting her next start. Havre de
Grace is in Delaware doing the same. The question is: Will it be the same race?
There is an outside chance that Blind Luck will ship to New York to meet Havre
de Grace in the Oct. 2 Beldame (gr. 1) at Belmont Park but more likely, trainer
Jerry Hollendorfer will keep the Pollard’s Vision filly in Southern California.
There Blind Luck will be the heavy favorite for the Lady’s Secret (gr. 1) at
Santa Anita. Interestingly, Blind Luck has been second in her only two starts at
Santa Anita this year. Earlier this year, Always A Princess defeated Blind Luck
by just over three lengths in both the El Encino (gr. 2) in January and the La
Canada (gr. 2) in February.
Once the three fillies and mare reach the Breeders’ Cup, they again may be in
three different races. Goldikova will be in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Mile (gr.
1T). Trainer Larry Jones has indicated that the Breeders’ Cup Ladies Classic
(gr. 1) is on the schedule of Havre de Grace. And Blind Luck may try the boys in
the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
Trainer Larry Jones and Havre de Grace owner Rick Porter have acknowledged that
Horse of the Year is their goal with the Saint Liam filly, much like the
connections of Blind Luck have said. Havre de Grace may have a current edge over
Blind Luck having a win over grade 1 colts and geldings in the $750,000 Woodward
Stakes at Saratoga Sept. 9. That may push Blind Luck into the Breeders’ Cup
Classic against males.
Hollendorfer had considered running Blind Luck against the boys in the Pacific
Classic (gr. 1), but was unsatisfied with the filly’s work over the Del Mar
surface prior to the race. That would have provided the “victory over the boys”
feather in the cap of Blind Luck that belongs to Havre de Grace.
That is as many as six races to watch to cover only the females that are in the
Horse of the Year chase.
The Horse of the Year watch on the male side has even more variables.
The Horse of the Year colts and horses contending are more widely represented
this year compared to most years. Usually at this time, the race for the golden
Eclipse may be down to two or three candidates. Not this year.
The current “top” contenders on the East coast are Travers Stakes (gr. 1) winner
Stay Thirsty and Whitney Handicap (gr. 1) victor Tiznow. Both will likely face
each other in the Jockey Club Gold Cup (gr. 1) at Belmont Park Oct. 2 where they
will again face the likes of Belmont Stakes (gr. 1) winner Ruler On Ice,
Preakness (gr. 1) winner Shackleford and Suburban Handicap (gr. 2) winner and
Woodward runner-up Flat Out. All mentioned – by the way – have a chance at Horse
of the Year with a big win in their last two races, the Jockey Club Gold Cup and
the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
If the Horse of the Year is to come from the male representation out West,
Acclamation is the current favorite of those stabled in Southern California.
Acclamation recently won the grade 1 Pacific Classic at Del Mar for his third
consecutive grade 1 win. Trained by longtime Southern California mainstay Don
Warren, the California-bred Acclamation also won the grade 1 Eddie Read and
Charlie Whittingham, both on turf at Del Mar and Hollywood Park respectively. In
a year when few older horses have won two grade 1 races around two turns,
Acclamation has three consecutive plus an allowance win prior to the Whittingham
to bring his winning streak to four.
One might expect Warren to take a traditional route to seasons end and send
Acclamation to the grade 1 Goodwood at Santa Anita Oct. 2 to prepare for the
Breeders’ Cup Classic. However, the son of Unusual Heat might skip both races
and end the year in the Breeders’ Cup Turf (gr. 1).
The Breeders’ Cup Turf is also likely to attract Arlington Million (gr. 1T)
winner Cape Blanco, another with a grade 1 winning streak having also taken the
Man O’War at Belmont Park in July. Trained by Aidan O’Brien in Europe, Cape
Blanco will return from overseas again to attempt his third straight grade 1
turf victory in the United States this year.
With Acclamation potentially out of the Goodwood, can another horse emerge from
the 1-1/8 race with Horse of the Year chances?
Game On Dude can certainly step in the championship picture with a win in the
Goodwood. But it only put him in the discussion. His victory in the Santa Anita
Handicap (gr. 1) was solid, but the Bob Baffert trainee also suffered a
mid-season slump with losses at Lone Star Park in Texas and Charles Town in West
Virginia then a flat fourth in the Pacific Classic. It will likely take a win in
the Classic and maybe even some help from the “what have you done for me lately”
gods to influence voters to give Game On Dude the title.
Twirling Candy, with his two grade 2 wins in the Californian and Strub, also has
a chance to get in the discussion. Remember, divisional leader Stay Thirsty is
in the “only one grade 1 win” club this year. Tizway has two grade 1 wins, but
one is in the Metropolitan Handicap at only a mile.
Twirling Candy was second in the Pacific Classic, third in the Hollywood Gold
Cup, and fifth in the Santa Anita Handicap, so he has danced in each of the West
coast marquee races for older horses. He has wins in the Strub (gr. 2) and
Californian (gr. 2), butneeds to have some grade 1 wins to get consideration
from Horse of the Year voters.
And then there is Frankel. Like Goldikova, Frankel has raced exclusively in
Europe but is undefeated in eight career starts, four of which have been this
year.
Named for the Hall of Fame trainer, the late Bobby Frankel, who trained for
Juddmonte Farms for decades in North America, Frankel has won three consecutive
group 1 races in his most recent starts in Great Britian. He started the year by
taking the gr. 3 Greenham Stakes at Newbury before dominating the English 2000
Guiness at Newmarket, the St. Jame’s Palace Stakes at Ascot and the Sussex at
Goodwood Race Course. Following the Sussex, Frankel’s Time Form rating was 135
(tied with Australian sensation Black Caviar), making him the best horse in the
world according to some.
He will start one more time in the Queen Elizabeth II stakes and trainer Henry
Cecil is undecided on a trip to America for the Galileo colt. Obviously, he’ll
need that start and will have to win a Breeders’ Cup Turf or Classic
convincingly to be considered for a North American championship.
There are others who could spring from relative obscurity now to Horse of the
Year in a few races. Comebacker kids Uncle Mo and The Factor come to mind. But
they are fighting time and the real possibility that they maybe best suited at
the mile distance instead of the more classic 1-1/4 mile distance generally
associated with a Horse of the Year.
It is a wide open field in the race for North American Horse of the Year for
2011. There are three females, plenty of domestic colts and horses and even two
candidates from Europe. Eclipse Award voters who represent the National
Thoroughbred Racing Association, Daily Racing Form and national turf writers;
usually are looking at the Goodwood, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Breeders’ Cup
Classic for their Horse of the Year vote. At times the golden Eclipse has even
been won at this time – say in a year of a Triple Crown winner. This year,
however, there are still seven races in October and as many as three Breeders’
Cup races that may have an impact on Horse of the Year.
That’s a little more work for the voters, and a disappointment for those that
prefer the dominant star, but it equates to a lot more fun for the fans during
these last few months of racing.
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